Sunday 4/19/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 4/19/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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How is this Dwayne Conners guy, he has a rare play today but if I recall I remember reading he was horrible

SUNDAY



25 DIME

NBA PLAYOFF

BEST BET #1



Heat vs Hawks
 

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series prices

I have a sportsbook.com account. I tried to make a series bet on the Rockets, they told me the most I could bet was $500. Does anyone know a good website that doesn't have a limit on series prices? I have a betjam account, 5dimes account, etc. I was just wondering who would let me make a large bet before I put money in another account. Thanks!
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">VEGAS EXPERTS

New Orleans Hornets at Denver Nuggets
Sunday, April 19th, 10:35 ET


Road teams posted three outright wins (all as underdogs of course) on day one of the NBA Playoffs, which is not the norm. However, it could be a sign of things to come as after the Cavs and Lakers, the talent disparity from team to team amongst the other 14 contenders is minimal. In two games in Denver this season, New Orleans posted an outright win and just a five-point loss. Both of those performances would qualify as them staying within the number here.

Play on: New Orleans
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MARC LAWRENCE

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers
Sunday, April 19th, 3:05 PM ET

The Rangers conclude their weekend set with the Royals when they take on Kyle Davies at The Ballpark in Arlington. That's been good news for Texas, for sure, considering Davies' 0-4 career team start mark with a 5.89 ERA. With the Rangers 9-3 their last twelve games as a host in this series, look for more of the same here today.

Play on: Texas
 
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Craig Trapp

St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB)
Apr 19, 2009 8:05 PM EDT

Play: Chicago Cubs

If anyone thinks that early season baseball does not matter then you better not miss tonight's ESPN Sunday Night Rivalry Game. Craig could not help himself he had to have his free pick in the rivalry game between St Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs. Lets look at the records and trends between these two.
Records:

St Louis Cardinals 8-5 Wellemeyer 1-1 (4.5 ERA)

Chicago Cubs 7-4 Lilly 2-0 (3.86 ERA)

Betting Trends:

-Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

-Cardinals are 1-4 in Wellemeyers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

-Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

-Cubs are 22-8 in Lilly's last 30 starts.

Lilly has been so good for the CUBS at Wrigley Field. Today the Cubs are riding a huge momentum extra innings win in Saturday's match up. These teams have split the first two games and today's evening ESPN game will settle the score. Today Lilly shuts down a hot hitting STL team and the bats of the Cubs come alive. This one is not going to be close.
SCORE CHC 7 - STL 3
 
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Red Dog Sports

San Jose and Anaheim under 5 goals. The first game ended 2-0 and the total was set at 5.5. The last 19 meetings saw 14 unders, 3 overs and 2 pushes. There have been 6 unders, 2 overs and a push in the last 9 at San Jose. Look for under 5 on Sunday night
 
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Tony Mathews

April 19, 2009.
Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates (+105)
 
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James Patrick

Diamondbacks vs. Giants 4:05 p.m. est.

After a pair of pitching duels in the first two games of this series we look for the Arizona D-Backs to light up Randy Johnson and the G-Men to put up some offense as well and Big Game James Patrick's Major League Baseball selection in Sunday action is #961 Arizona - San Francisco Over the Total.
 
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Dwayne Bryant

710 LAL (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 709 UTA
Analysis:

5-point NBA Teaser

#710 Lakers -6.5 (3:05 pm ET on ABC) to
#712 Orlando -4.5 (5:35 pm ET on TNT)

Both Laker wins at home in this series this season have come by 13 points. LA averaged 119 points in those games. LA's last postseason game was a blowout loss at Boston in last year's Finals, so you know Kobe and the gang will want to start strong. The Jazz will definitely miss center Mehmet Okur in this one.

Both Philly and Orlando limped to the finish line, but I expect the Magic to use their last-game blowout of Charlotte to keep the momentum going against the struggling Sixers.

The Sixers enter the playoffs having just ended their six-game losing streak with a shaky overtime win against a Cleveland team that rested LeBron James and most of its starters. The skid has sapped Philadelphia's confidence. "I can't pinpoint it, but we just lost it mentally," Sixers guard Andre Miller said.

Getting back their groove against Howard and the Magic won't be easy. One of the league's most dominant centers, Howard's inside muscle is surrounded with free-shooting perimeter players. That formula presents a major matchup dilemma for any team, but has particularly given fits to the Sixers, who have lost all three games against the Magic this season.

I'll take the Lakers and Orlando in a 5-point Teaser for a half-unit.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Game: Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Apr 19 2009 1:35PM
Prediction: over

Reason: I'm playing the Over in the Baltimore/Boston game on Sunday. I mentioned the other night that Baltimore pitcher Koji Uehara is going to be in trouble in good hitting parks. He throws to contact and doesn?t get many strikeouts (only three this year in 10 innings of work). He allowed two homers in Arlington that night, and watched his ERA swell to 7.20 this season. Today he?s got to face the Red Sox in Fenway Park! Jon Lester of Boston is off to a horrible start. He?s not comfortable on the mound right now and opponents are just teeing off. Lester?s ERA is 9.00 so far, with an ugly WHIP of 1.82 (and three homers allowed). Baltimore?s offense has been on fire this year, averaging better than six runs per game entering the weekend. Both offenses are likely to do a lot of damage vs. these pitchers in this park. And, as we saw Friday Night in this series, either offense can do most of the work all by themselves. These two teams play here again Monday, so there are no getaway distractions that could reduce scoring. The Over in the Baltimore/Boston game is the play. Thanks! GL! Scott.
 
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Rocketman

St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Prediction: Chicago Cubs

St Louis comes in at 8-5 on the season while the Chicago Cubs are now 7-4 this year. St Louis bullpen has a 5.02 ERA overall and a 5.49 ERA on the road this season. Chicago Cubs bullpen has a 3.55 ERA overall and a 3.14 ERA at home this year. Lilly is 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA overall this year and 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA at home this season. Lilly is 6-2 with a 2.99 ERA overall vs St Louis since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the Chicago Cubs tonight!
 
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Big Al Mcmordie

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Over

At 1:35pm our member selection is on the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. It hasn't been the kind of start that the Phillies or their fans had hoped for to defend their title. Not only are they hovering around the .500 mark early on, but they have what appears to be two much-improved teams in the division this year in the Marlins and Braves, both of whom seem to have made major strides in improving their pitching (something the Phils can't say at this point). Consider that the player who came out of Spring training as the winner of the #5 spot in the Philly rotation is none other than Chan Ho Park. Park teased the Phils by having a fantastic spring training, looking like he did when he pitched for the Dodgers. But in his first regular season start against the Rockies, Park didn't last four innings and got hammered for seven hits and five ER. At least the Phillies' bats are heating up quite a bit lately, and the Padres are actually scoring quite a few runs this season too, as they are sixth in the NL in runs scored (compared to 2008 when they finished last in the Majors in runs scored with only 637). Take the 'over'.
 
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Jeff Benton

My seven-day free-play winning streak came to a halt Saturday, as the Reds got blitzed in Houston. Still, I’m 16-7 over the last 23 days with freebies, and we’ll get back on track Sunday by shifting to the NBA and taking the Hornets plus the points at Denver.

Denver had an unbelievable regular season, and it has Chauncey Billups to thank for that. But the fact remains that the Nuggets will take the court with a ton of pressure tonight, as this team has gotten bounced out of the first round of the playoffs six straight times going back to 1995, including each of the last five years. During this run of postseason futility, the Nuggets are 4-23 SU, including getting swept by the Lakers in four games last year. Going back to 1989, Denver has lost eight of nine first-round series, going 7-31 SU!

You can’t tell me that something like that won’t be on the players’ minds when they take the floor for this game. On top of that, the Hornets are hardly a gimme for Denver. Yes, they didn’t have quite the success they had last year, thanks in most part to key injuries, but New Orleans still won 49 games (only five fewer than the Nuggets) and it still has the most dynamic point guard in the game in Chris Paul (a guy that can absolutely neutralize Billups).

The Hornets have matched up well against the Nuggets, too. The teams split four meetings this year and have split the last 10 contests, but New Orleans has gotten the money in five of the last seven matchups, including three of the last four in Denver. In fact, the Hornets are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall, 7-2 ATS in their last nine trips to the Mile High City, and the road team has covered in 11 of the last 16 series matchups. Throw in Denver’s 3-15 ATS record in its last 18 first-round playoff games, and I’ll take these significant points in what I believe will be a very tightly contested game throughout.

5♦ NEW ORLEANS
 
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Jake Timlin

Much like the Cavaliers yesterday I don’t expect for the Lakers to be challenged at home by the eighth seeded Utah Jazz. Not when the Lakers will more than enjoy playing at home where they shine and with the Jazz sucking on the road. You see while I like the Lakers who have won 7 of their last 8 games, including a 13 point win against the Jazz on Tuesday this match-up is more about the failures of Utah. I mean given that Utah is an awful 1-12 SU and 2-11 ATS this year on the road against Western Conference playoff teams it’s tough to imagine anything short of a blowout here today. After all with the Lakers going 3-1 SU/ATS in this year’s series mixed in with the Jazz going 2-10 ATS to end the season today’s game has blowout written all over it. So making their own statement to open the playoffs I look for the Lakers to flirt with a twenty something win.

PICK: Los Angeles Lakers
 
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Matt Rivers

For Sunday take back this number with the Indians.

I will continue to fade the Yankees as they are just not a good team right now. Yes AJ Burnett has been unreal this season and clearly could shut down anybody after two sparkling outings as a New Yorker but the way the Yankee offense has been playing, aka struggling, without Arod I just do not think that Joe Girardi's squad can be laying such a price in any pitching matchup and that includes a bad Carl Pavano against Burnett.

Pavano is probably at the end of the road in his career which will be very underachieving but he is a former Yankee who would love nothing better than come back to the Bronx and shove it up his former team's you know what. As long as Pavano does not completely implode, which I don't think he will, I will take my chances for sure with a lineup led by a total stud in Grady Sizemore along with Travis Hafner, Victor Martinez, Mark DeRosa and a few others. No doubt the Tribe should have saved some of those runs from yesterday but at this price what the hey!?!?

Let's face it, these Yankees continue to get some clout because they are the "Yankees". As I have said since the season began this team just does not scare me at all. Mark Teixeira is powerful and great but that is about it, save maybe Robinson Cano who has been swinging the bat well. Jeter and Damon are extremely mediocre and other guys like Gardner, Molina and Ransom are not typical Yankees and guys that can go 0fer at the drop of a hat.

Burnett is rolling and could shut down Cleveland today. But the price is a bit too high and I'll continue to go against those Yankees here.
 
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Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

OK, we were off yesterday as the Celtics piss down there collective leg and let the Bulls go into Boston and punk the defending world champs.

We take a loss, but that’s fine as we’re getting back on the winning track today as we’re switching gears and heading out to the diamond where we’re taking the Arizona Diamondbacks as a dog on the road at the San Francisco Giants.

After dropping Game 1 of this series on Friday, the D’backs come through with a strong 2-0 win over defending Cy Young champ Tim Lincecum.

Today, Arizona will make it 2 in a row against the Giants.

Including yesterday’s win the Diamondbacks have taken 5 of 6 against the Giants and are battling a San Francisco team that has won only one of its last eight games overall and has won only 5 of its last 21 against the NL West.

Consider also that Giants scheduled starting pitcher Randy Johnston is 0-2 this season and has given up 11 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings of work as the Giants have been outscored in each outing by a total of 15-3.

Today, Arizona will light up Johnson and get over easy in this one. Take the Diamondbacks on the road in this one.

3♦ DIAMONDBACKS
 
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Craig Davis

Another day, another dollar on a perfect sweep of the card. 2-0 again Saturday and there’s no one hotter. Even Dallas got us off to a good start on our series play with the Mavs.

Today, we make it 10 Bonus Play WINNERS in 15 days on the Miami Heat. Yes, I’m fully aware that the Atlanta Hawks play better at home than they do on the road, and the Heat have really struggled away from Miami, but I simply have a gut feeling Miami is due for a good game on the road. Chicago did it. Dallas did it. Houston did it… so Miami can do it, and I believe they will today. Miami has covered 6 of their last 8 overall and 7 of their last 9 when playing in Atlanta… they’re also 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Eastern Conference teams, 4-1 ATS in their last five as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. Dwayne Wade is the X-factor and will do whatever it takes to get the Game 1 win. Play the Heat plus the small number on the road as another easy Bonus Play winner.

2? MIAMI
 
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Drew Gordon

Milwaukee +145 at NY METS

Simply too much value to look any other way than the Brewers in this contest. Sorry Mets-backers, but call-up Nelson Figueroa doesn't scare anyone, and that includes a Brewers team desperate for win. True, the Brew Crew has lost 6 of their last 7, but looking over today's match up, they'll have more than their fair share of oppurtunities to avoid the sweep.

First off, while I'll admit Jeff Suppan hasn't looked good thus far this season, its no secret he's been rock-solid against the Mets in his career, going 3-2 with a 3.63 ERA in 9 starts. He was also given an extra 2 days rest before this start, allowing for an extra throwing session to get his head on straight. While we don't expect Suppan to come out and lockdown this Mets offense, he can and will outpitch Figueroa, that much you can count on.

Speaking of Figueroa, while he did face the Brewers 3 times last season (once as a starter), going 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 9 innings pitched, let's not get too carried away. This is the same guy who went 3-3 with a lofty 4.57 ERA in 16 games last season. Are you really willing to pay this price to back a pitcher with those kind of numbers?!

Finally, the fact the Brewers have lost TWO 1-run games this series only adds to their motivation this afternoon. Both games were razor close, and based on the fact they got shutout by Santana Saturday, I'm looking for them to bring out the bats this afternoon. Look guys, in the end, the Brewers have a strong pitching edge, and more than enough motivation to get the "W" today at Citi Field... Let's grab that plus money Sunday afternoon!

Take Milwaukee behind Suppan over the NY Mets and Figueroa in this MLB match up.

2♦ MILWAUKEE
 

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